How the new tax law created a ‘perfect storm’ for Roth IRA conversions in 2019
For years I’ve lectured about the wonderfulness of Roth IRAs. The new Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) makes Roth IRAs even more attractive and they can provide insurance against future tax rate increases that I think are almost inevitable. Here’s what you need to know about Roth IRAs and especially Roth IRA conversions in the post-TCJA world.
The two most-important Roth IRA tax advantages are:
Unlike traditional IRA withdrawals, qualified Roth IRA withdrawals are federal-income-tax-free and usually state-income-tax-free too. What is a qualified withdrawal? It’s one that is taken after you, as the Roth account owner, have met both of the following requirements:
1. You’ve had at least one Roth IRA open for over five years.
2. You’ve reached age 59½ or become disabled or dead.
For purposes of meeting the five-year requirement, the clock starts ticking on the first day of the tax year for which you make your initial contribution to your first Roth account. That initial contribution can be a regular annual contribution, or it can be a conversion contribution. For example, say your initial Roth pay-in was an annual contribution made on 4/1/17 for your 2016 tax year. The five-year clock started ticking on 1/1/16 (the beginning of the tax year for which the contribution was made), and you will meet the five-year requirement on 1/1/21.
Unlike with a traditional IRA, you don’t have to start taking annual required minimum distributions (RMDs) from Roth accounts after reaching age 70½. Instead, you can leave your Roth account(s) untouched for as long as you live if you wish. This important privilege makes your Roth IRA a great asset to leave to your heirs (to the extent you don’t need the Roth money to help finance your own retirement).
Annual Roth contributions make the most sense for those who believe they will pay the same or higher tax rates during retirement. Higher future taxes can be avoided on Roth account earnings, because qualified Roth withdrawals are federal-income-tax-free (and usually state-income-tax-free too).
The downside is you get no deductions for making Roth contributions.
So if you expect to pay lower tax rates during retirement (good luck with that), you might be better off making deductible traditional IRA contributions (assuming your income permits), because the current deductions may be worth more to you than tax-free withdrawals later on.
The other best-case scenario for annual Roth contributions is when you have maxed out on deductible retirement plan contributions. For example, you’ve contributed the maximum possible amount to your 401(k) plan at work. In that case, making Roth contributions is basically a no-brainer.
The absolute maximum amount you can contribute to a Roth account for any tax year is the lesser of: (1) your earned income for the year or (2) the annual contribution limit for the year. Basically, earned income means wage and salary income (including bonuses), self-employment income, and alimony received that is included in your gross income (believe it or not). If you are married, you can add your spouse’s earned income to the total. For 2019, the limits are increased to $6,000 and $7,000, respectively.
For 2018, eligibility to make annual Roth contributions is phased out between modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) of $120,000 and $135,000 for unmarried individuals. For 2019, the phase-out range is $122,000 to $137,000.
For married joint filers, the 2018 phase-out range is between MAGI of $189,000 and $199,000. For 2019, the phase-out range is $193,000 to $203,000.
The deadline for making annual Roth contributions is the same as the deadline for annual traditional IRA contributions, i.e., the original due date of your return. For example, the contribution deadline for the 2019 tax year is 4/15/20. However, you can make a 2019 contribution anytime between now and then. The sooner you contribute, the sooner you can start earning tax-free income.
After reaching age 70½, you can still make annual Roth IRA contributions — assuming there are no problems with the earned income limitation or the income-based phase-out rule. In contrast, you cannot make any more contributions to traditional IRAs after you reach age 70½.
The quickest way to get a significant sum into a Roth IRA is by converting a traditional IRA to Roth status. The conversion is treated as a taxable distribution from your traditional IRA, because you’re deemed to receive a payout from the traditional account with the money then going into the new Roth account. So doing a conversion before year-end will trigger a bigger federal income tax bill for this year (and maybe a bigger state income tax bill too).
However, today’s federal income tax rates might be the lowest you’ll see for the rest of your life. Thanks to the TCJA, the rates shown below apply for 2019. For 2020, the rate brackets will increase slightly to account for inflation. After 2020, who knows? While the TCJA rate cuts are schedule to last through 2025, they could end sooner, depending on political developments. Even if they last through 2025, I am not optimistic about tax rates in later years.
2019 Individual Federal Income Tax Rate Brackets
10% tax bracket: $0 to $9,700 (single), $0 to $19,400 (joint) and $0 to $13,850 (HOH*)
Beginning of 12% bracket: $9,701 (single), $19,401 (joint) and $13,851 (HOH)
Beginning of 22% bracket: $39,476 (single), $78,951 (joint) and $52,851 (HOH)
Beginning of 24% bracket: $84,201 (single), $168,401 (joint) and $84,201 (HOH)
Beginning of 32% bracket: $160,726 (single), $321,451 (joint) and $160,726 (HOH)
Beginning of 35% bracket: $204,101 (single), $408,201 (joint) and $204,101 (HOH)
Beginning of 37% bracket: $510,301 (single), $612,351 (joint) and $510,301 (HOH)
* Head of household
So if you convert in 2018, you’ll pay today’s low tax rates on the extra income triggered by the conversion and completely avoid the potential for higher future rates on all the post-conversion income that will be earned in your Roth account. That’s because Roth withdrawals taken after age 59½ are totally federal-income-tax-free, as long as you’ve had at least one Roth account open for over five years. So in effect, the Roth conversion strategy insures you against future tax rate increases that would otherwise hit withdrawals coming from your current traditional IRA balance plus future account earnings.
To be clear, the best candidates for the Roth conversion strategy are people who believe that their tax rates during retirement will be the same or higher than their current tax rates. If you fit into that category, please keep reading.
Converting a traditional IRA with a relatively big balance could push you into a higher tax bracket. For example, if you’re single and expect your 2019 taxable income to be about $110,000, your marginal federal income tax rate is 24%. Converting a $100,000 traditional IRA into a Roth account in 2019 would cause about half of the extra income from the conversion to be taxed at 32%. But if you spread the $100,000 conversion 50/50 over 2019 and 2020 (which you are allowed to do), all the extra income from converting would be probably taxed at 24%.
Low current tax cost for converting + insurance against higher tax rates in future years on income that will accumulate in your Roth account = continuing perfect storm for the Roth conversion strategy. However, talk to your tax adviser before pulling the trigger on a conversion — just to make sure you’ve considered all the relevant factors.
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