Positive ‘price drift’ suggests bitcoin has room to move higher
Bitcoin showed further resilience Thursday, building on sharp gains made earlier in the week.
Often in the past, sharp moves higher in the price of the No. 1 digital currency have been followed by pullbacks, or at the least, consolidation. This time, bitcoin has recorded five consecutive winning days and the “price drift,” when an asset continues in the same direction after a sharp move, suggests there’s more to come for world’s biggest digital currency, analysts say.
“All in all, we believe that when we see signs of price drift that it indicates that the current price may not be the fair value price. All the information that is relevant may not be fully priced in,” wrote Thejas Nalval, portfolio director, and Kevin Lu, director of quantitative research, at Element Asset Management, in a note.
“And in the case of positive price drift, it means that bullish market sentiment has not been fully realized in the supply-demand equilibrium and that the price likely has more room to go,” they said.
A single bitcoinBTCUSD, +1.42% was last valued at $7,416.27, up 1.1% since 5 p.m. Eastern Time Wednesday on the Kraken crypto exchange.
Speaking on a webinar conference hosted by private capital markets firm SharesPost, Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors said the wintry start to 2018 for crypto investors could be coming to an end. “We should think about when the season is going to change,” said Lee, when posed the question has the bitcoin winter ended.
“There’s a reasonable argument that spring has already begun, Lee added”
Lee said the adoption of bitcoin will be generational, highlighting the importance of millennials for the future of cryptocurrencies and blockchain, the distributed ledger technology that underpins bitcoin. “Every technology change relies on a generational shift,” Lee said.
“Millennials will be the most important to the crypto space.”
During a Wednesday hearing hosted by the House Financial Services Committee, a notable cryptocurrency detractor, California Democrat Rep. Brad Sherman, said the U.S. should ban the buying and mining of cryptocurrencies.
Sherman in the past called cryptocurrencies a “crock,” saying they are popular with guys who sit around in their pajamas and tell their wives they’re going to be millionaires.
Coins other than bitcoin, colloquially known as altcoins, are underperforming bitcoin in afternoon trading. EtherETHUSD, -1.39%is down 1.1% at $468.40, Bitcoin CashBCHUSD, -0.40%has lost 0.7%, trading at $816.50, LitecoinLTCUSD, -2.19%is in the red to the tune of 2.1%, last trading at $86.34 and Ripple’s XRP coinXRPUSD, -1.32%was trading at 48 cents, down 0.8%.
Bitcoin futures markets have followed spot markets higher. The Cboe Global Markets Inc. for AugustXBTQ8, +2.37% is up 1.6% at $7,395 and the CME Inc. July contract BTCN8, +0.61%has gained 0.9% to $7,460.
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