{"id":117498,"date":"2021-06-30T23:33:09","date_gmt":"2021-06-30T23:33:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fin2me.com\/?p=117498"},"modified":"2021-06-30T23:33:09","modified_gmt":"2021-06-30T23:33:09","slug":"taiwan-is-the-most-dangerous-flashpoint-in-u-s-china-relations-says-former-diplomat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fin2me.com\/politics\/taiwan-is-the-most-dangerous-flashpoint-in-u-s-china-relations-says-former-diplomat\/","title":{"rendered":"Taiwan is the &#x27;most dangerous&#x27; flashpoint in U.S.-China relations, says former diplomat"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li>Taiwan is the &quot;most dangerous&quot; flashpoint in the relationship between the U.S. and China \u2014 but an outright conflict is not likely, said former Singapore senior diplomat Bilahari Kausikan.<\/li>\n<li>Kausikan said &quot;accidents can always happen,&quot; but both the U.S. and China will likely &quot;do their best to contain such accidents if they do occur.&quot;<\/li>\n<li>Kevin Rudd, former Australian prime minister and an astute China watcher, said unifying Taiwan with the mainland remains an &quot;unfinished business&quot; of the ruling Chinese Communist Party.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Taiwan is the &quot;most dangerous&quot; flashpoint in the relationship between the U.S. and China \u2014 but an outright conflict is not likely, said former Singapore senior diplomat Bilahari Kausikan.<\/p>\n<p>&quot;During the U.S.-Soviet Cold War, which lasted for 40 years, nuclear deterrence kept the peace at least between the two principals. I think it will again keep the peace between the U.S. and China,&quot; Kausikan told CNBC&#x27;s &quot;Squawk Box Asia&quot; on Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p>According to the nuclear deterrence theory, the possibility that a country could use its nuclear weapons to retaliate will deter an enemy state from attacking.<\/p>\n<p>Beijing claims Taiwan, a democratic self-ruled island, as a runaway province that must be reunited with the mainland \u2014 using force if necessary. The ruling<strong> <\/strong>Chinese Communist Party, which turns 100 on Thursday, has never governed Taiwan.<\/p>\n<p>In the last few years, the U.S. has moved closer to Taiwan, angering China which views the island as having no rights to conduct diplomacy of its own.<\/p>\n<p>Kevin Rudd, former Australian prime minister and an astute China watcher, said unifying Taiwan with the mainland remains an &quot;unfinished business&quot; of the CCP.<\/p>\n<p>He said the Chinese military has planned for years to secure Taiwan&#x27;s &quot;return,&quot; and China could make a move if President Xi Jinping is reappointed as leader of the party and country at a CCP congress late next year.<\/p>\n<p>Xi, who has been president since 2013, is expected to secure another term after China scrapped limits on presidential term.<\/p>\n<p>&quot;I think what we&#x27;ll then be moving into is a period which China will be looking at its options to leverage Taiwan back into a form of a political union with China by the time we get to the late 2020s and into the 2030s,&quot; Rudd told CNBC&#x27;s &quot;Capital Connection&quot; Wednesday. &quot;And that&#x27;s when I believe it does get dangerous for us all.&quot;<\/p>\n<h2>Read more about China from CNBC Pro<\/h2>\n<p>JPMorgan picks its favorite Chinese stocks on everything from hydrogen to EV batteries<\/p>\n<p>Wedbush says Tesla faces a &#x27;moment of truth&#x27; in China with recall<\/p>\n<p>Jim Cramer says he feels better about Apple&#x27;s China exposure after Nike earnings<\/p>\n<p>Other observers have<strong> <\/strong>warned that the risk of a U.S.-China military clash over Taiwan is rising.<\/p>\n<p>Kausikan, who&#x27;s currently chairman of the Middle East Institute at the National University of Singapore, said &quot;accidents can always happen.&quot;<\/p>\n<p>However, he added that both the U.S. and China will likely &quot;do their best to contain such accidents if they do occur.&quot;<\/p>\n<p>Previously, Kausikan was Singapore&#x27;s permanent representative to the United Nations, and served as permanent secretary of Singapore&#x27;s Ministry of Foreign Affairs.<\/p>\n<h2>U.S.-Taiwan relations<\/h2>\n<p>The U.S. and Taiwan resumed long-stalled trade talks on Wednesday. Such discussions under the Trade and Investment Framework Agreement were last held when former U.S. President Barack Obama was in office.<\/p>\n<p>Taiwan reportedly said it hopes both sides can &quot;gradually&quot; move toward a trade deal. <\/p>\n<p>But Bonnie Glaser, director of Asia program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States, who spoke to CNBC before the talks, said President Joe Biden hasn&#x27;t indicated whether he&#x27;s interested in an agreement with the island.<\/p>\n<p>&quot;Taiwan is isolated, and we should be willing to negotiate trade agreements with Taiwan, it&#x27;s our 10th largest trading partner,&quot; she told CNBC&#x27;s &quot;Squawk Box Asia&quot; Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p>Glaser added that as part of the World Trade Organization, Taiwan has the right to negotiate trade deals with other members. She pointed out that Beijing had supported Taiwan&#x27;s trade agreements with Singapore and New Zealand in the past. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>But China wouldn&#x27;t be happy about trade talks between the U.S. and Taiwan, said Glaser.<\/p>\n<p>Still, Beijing wouldn&#x27;t see such negotiations as a signal of U.S. support for Taiwan independence, she added.<\/p>\n<p>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2021\/07\/01\/taiwan-is-most-dangerous-flashpoint-in-us-china-relations-ex-diplomat.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Read Full Article<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Taiwan is the &quot;most dangerous&quot; flashpoint in the relationship between the U.S. and China \u2014 but an outright conflict is not likely, said former Singapore [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":117497,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Taiwan is the &#x27;most dangerous&#x27; 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