{"id":119082,"date":"2021-07-30T20:07:41","date_gmt":"2021-07-30T20:07:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fin2me.com\/?p=119082"},"modified":"2021-07-30T20:07:41","modified_gmt":"2021-07-30T20:07:41","slug":"peru-currency-hits-record-low-bonds-fall-on-finance-ministry-vacuum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fin2me.com\/markets\/peru-currency-hits-record-low-bonds-fall-on-finance-ministry-vacuum\/","title":{"rendered":"Peru currency hits record low, bonds fall on finance ministry vacuum"},"content":{"rendered":"

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Peru\u2019s currency tumbled to a record low on its largest daily decline in over seven years after President Pedro Castillo appointed a member of his Marxist party as prime minister and did not yet name a finance minister, leaving the direction of policy and the economy uncertain.<\/p>

FILE PHOTO: A money changer holds Peruvian Sol bills at a street in downtown Lima, Peru, December 15, 2017. REUTERS\/Mariana Bazo<\/figcaption>

The appointment of Guido Bellido as premier dimmed investor hopes for a moderate administration and sent bond spreads to safe-haven U.S. Treasuries to their widest in over a year.<\/p>\n

The 2060 bond issue was down 2 cents on the dollar to trade at 88.3 cents, the 2032 bond fell 1 cent and its century bond was down 2.8 cents, Refinitiv data showed.<\/p>\n

The benchmark stock index dropped almost 6% at its session low and is on track to close at its lowest since November. On Wall Street, stocks of Peru based financials Credicorp and Intercorp Financial Services fell near 17% and 10% respectively, while miner Buenaventura dropped over 6%.<\/p>\n

The local sol currency lost 3.6% to the greenback to set a record closing low of 4.068 per U.S. dollar.<\/p>\n

The decline was the largest for any day in over seven years despite $293 million sold by the central bank to protect the sol.<\/p>\n

Peru\u2019s currency is \u201clikely to stay under pressure as the political process plays out,\u201d said Citi analysts in a note. \u201cWe expect the central bank to intervene to smooth volatility.\u201d<\/p>\n

Investors are wary about Peru\u2019s prospects under Castillo, who last month won a razor-thin election with a self-described Marxist-Leninist party.<\/p>\n

Bellido\u2019s appointment on Thursday underlined the influence that the far-left Free Peru party will have in Castillo\u2019s administration, which began on Wednesday and is set to last until 2026.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s probably too early to make conclusions, but the opening gambit isn\u2019t a positive one,\u201d said Sailesh Lad at Axa Investment Managers, adding that the asset manager will maintain its small exposure to the debt of the Peruvian sovereign and corporates.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe think there is going to be volatility, but I don\u2019t think panic has set in and we are at the stage where (investors) need to exit the country,\u201d Lad said. \u201cAt the same time, we haven\u2019t reached the stage where we see opportunities.\u201d<\/p>\n

Spreads of Peru\u2019s hard currency bonds over safe-haven U.S. Treasuries on the JPMorgan EMBI Global Diversified index have risen nearly 30 basis points in the last week to 199 bps – the widest gap since May 2020.<\/p>\n

Castillo\u2019s failure to appoint a finance minister exacerbated investor concerns, JPMorgan said in a note.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe extremely atypical political situation reinforces our call for a persistent scenario characterized by political, institutional, and economic uncertainty,\u201d the bank\u2019s Diego W. Pereira wrote.<\/p>\n

The cost of insurance against a default in Peru\u2019s dollar debt rose to its highest in over a year, breaching 102 basis points from 84 earlier this week.<\/p>\n

Castillo swore in most of his cabinet on Thursday evening, but the favourite for the finance job, moderate leftist economist Pedro Francke, left the venue shortly before the ceremony started, raising questions over whether he had rejected or lost the job at the last minute.<\/p>\n

Castillo, who faces a balancing act between maintaining the faith of investors and improving life for the largely rural base that voted for him, has said he wants to raise taxes on mining companies to fund health and education reforms.<\/p>\n

\u201cA possible constitutional change \u2013 and therefore its final outcome \u2013 is likely to hamper long-term investment as firms should remain cautious,\u201d said Andre Loes, economist at Morgan Stanley.<\/p>\n

\u201cWhat is left to support growth is the external backdrop, which should remain solid, except for copper, Peru\u2019s main export item, whose prices are likely to drop due to lower demand.\u201d<\/p>\n

Peru is the world\u2019s second-largest copper producer. Its 2022 fiscal deficit targets are likely to be revised higher, with about $4 billion of external bond issuance expected in the second half of 2021, Sebastian Vargas at Barclays wrote in a note.<\/p>\n

Source: Read Full Article<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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