* Lira hits 10.45 per dollar<\/p>\n
* EMFX rebound after Tuesday\u2019s slide<\/p>\n
* S.African rand hits 1-month low before recovering<\/p>\n
* EM stocks break 7-day winning streak<\/p>\n
Nov 17 (Reuters) – Turkey\u2019s lira hit a record low on Wednesday on worries about monetary policy missteps, while emerging market stocks snapped a seven-day rally with rising COVID-19 cases hurting sentiment.<\/p>\n
After falling almost 3% on Tuesday, the lira slipped further to 10.45 to the dollar, bringing 2021 losses to 28% – the worst among EM peers.<\/p>\n
Bowing to political pressure, the central bank is seen cutting the policy rate by 100 basis points to 15% on Thursday, which would see the rate down by 400 bps since September, while inflation surges to almost 20%. Erdogan has replaced several central bank chief and members in his drive to lower rates in the hopes it will spur economic growth.<\/p>\n
\u201cAfter one further 100bp rate cut at the November meeting, the central bank will likely stop its front-loaded easing cycle, at least until the year-end,\u201d said Muhammet Mercan, chief economist – Turkey at ING, citing moderation in some core inflation indicators among others.<\/p>\n
Most other EM currencies bounced after a dollar rally post strong U.S. retail sales data on Tuesday had bruised riskier currencies as investors raised policy tightening bets in the United States.<\/p>\n
MSCI\u2019s index of EM currencies was flat after posting it worst session in 10 weeks, with the Chinese yuan rising 0.2%, while South Africa\u2019s rand and Russia\u2019s rouble rose 0.3% and 0.5% respectively.<\/p>\n
The rand hit its lowest since early January, before firming. State power utility Eskom said it saw an increased risk of rotational power cuts as many of the units at its power stations were not operating at full capacity due to unplanned maintenance.<\/p>\n
After data on Wednesday showed inflation for October remained unchanged over the previous month, September retail sales later are seen contracting significantly ahead of the central bank\u2019s rate decision on Thursday.<\/p>\n
A Reuters poll sees the rate being held at 3.5%, but most participants said it\u2019s too close to call.<\/p>\n
Rising geopolitical tensions over Ukraine and Belarus had seen Russia\u2019s rouble surge past 73 to the dollar. It was back below that level on Wednesday, despite falling oil prices.<\/p>\n
Emerging market stocks dipped 0.1% into the red with a 1.2% slide in South Korean shares leading the pack in Asia, as COVID-19 cases rose in Southeast Asian country.<\/p>\n
But gains for mainland China shares and a fresh record high for South African shares were among those limiting losses for the broader index.<\/p>\n
Turkey stocks rose 0.4% after a day\u2019s pause. The index has risen for 20 of the last 22 sessions. It surged almost 23% in that time, scaling a record high on Tuesday.<\/p>\n
For GRAPHIC on emerging market FX performance in 2021, see tmsnrt.rs\/2egbfVh For GRAPHIC on MSCI emerging index performance in 2021, see tmsnrt.rs\/2OusNdX<\/p>\n
For TOP NEWS across emerging markets<\/p>\n
For CENTRAL EUROPE market report, see<\/p>\n
For TURKISH market report, see<\/p>\n
For RUSSIAN market report, see<\/p>\n