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Victor Davis Hanson: You don\u2019t want to be loud and carry a twig like the Biden admin is doing.<\/p>\n
Ukraine\u2019s borders look like a parking lot for Russian tanks, trucks, and artillery all poised for a three-pronged blitzkrieg.<\/p>\n
President Joe Biden will surely see updated imagery of those military vehicles and snowy parking tracks before his video call with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday. <\/p>\n
It\u2019s Putin\u2019s move. Russia can invade Ukraine “on short order should he so decide,” Secretary of State Anthony Blinken said Dec. 1. <\/p>\n
Don\u2019t forget over 13,000 have died in the fighting in eastern Ukraine since 2014, according to the U.N. <\/p>\n
Russian spokesman Dmitry Peskov is now claiming Russia has no plans to attack. We\u2019ve heard that line before. What counts is whether troops and tanks back away from Ukraine. Either way, Russia is downplaying expectations for the call \u2013 that\u2019s Team Putin preparing Russian public opinion. Usually big meetings deliver at least a few minor agreements, but this call might not if Biden hangs tough. <\/p>\n
Here\u2019s what Biden must understand. Putin\u2019s tactics come straight from Russian revolutionary V.I. Lenin who said in 1917: “Probe with a bayonet; if you meet steel, stop! If you meet mush, then push.”<\/p>\n
That\u2019s Biden\u2019s choice for the USA: to be steel or mush. Putin loves summits and wants to see if his pressure campaign \u2013 Ukraine build-up, blowing up the satellite, turmoil in Belarus \u2013 has rattled Biden. <\/p>\n
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Last week NATO doubled down and is totally committed to a sovereign Ukraine. NATO nations are already taking defensive action. <\/p>\n
The lingering problem, of course, is Biden\u2019s credibility. Granted, Biden hosted Ukraine\u2019s President Zelensky at the White House Sep. 1, and increased military aid. <\/p>\n
But Biden has a lot to live down. As Vice President, Biden was one of the Obama team who let Putin take the Crimea from Ukraine in 2014. <\/p>\n
Here are four things to know about the Dec. 7 summit: <\/p>\n
1. It\u2019s a rush job.<\/strong> This summit popped up in late November. Biden, who I think is in way over his head, did okay with Putin in Geneva last June, delivering tough cyber threats. But that was before the fall of Kabul showed the utter ineptitude of Biden as a Commander-in-Chief. On their call, Biden will talk and lecture; Putin will snap out sarcastic remarks. Whatever they say, Putin must come away convinced of America is serious or risks for Ukraine go up. <\/p>\n 2. NATO is muscled up. <\/strong>One Russian boot across the border and NATO will be unified like you\u2019ve never seen. The 30-nation Euro-Atlantic alliance is primed to deter and counter rash Russian actions. On Nov. 15, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson warned Putin not to make a “tragic mistake” over Ukraine. NATO has started defensive preparations, according to its highly-regarded Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg. The NATO Foreign Ministers meeting on Nov. 30 meeting confirmed 100% support for Ukraine\u2019s sovereignty. <\/p>\n 3. No one knows Putin\u2019s intentions.<\/strong> “Fluid” is all Stoltenberg will say. Putin wants the world to think Russia is too strong and dangerous to resist. When Russia blew up that satellite on orbit last month, it may have been a signal that Russia will fight in space as well as on land. Don\u2019t forget Putin is also showing off for China. <\/p>\n 4. America is already involved.<\/strong> American planes, drones, satellites and ships in the Black Sea are all staring at Russia\u2019s forces. The crucial US task right now is watching Russia\u2019s disposition of forces to see if they are ready to march or not. One thing\u2019s for sure, this won\u2019t be a surprise attack. Heat up one tank engine and we\u2019ll know about it. <\/p>\n Biden and NATO can do more to deter Putin. Start with immediate air exercises in Ukraine with US and NATO aircraft. Next, let Treasury tell us more about the painful sanctions they have in store for Putin, his buddies and Russia\u2019s access to international banking. Finally, it\u2019s time for Biden to lay down the steel: the US and NATO will not stand for a Russian invasion of Ukraine. <\/p>\n America\u2019s allies and friends need strong leadership, not another fumble. <\/p>\n Biden himself needs a win. After a disastrous year, holding firm with NATO against Russia is essential to restoring Biden\u2019s credibility as Commander in Chief. <\/p>\n Let\u2019s hope Biden comes on strong and Putin sees the folly of attacking Ukraine. <\/p>\n![](\"https:\/\/a57.foxnews.com\/cf-images.us-east-1.prod.boltdns.net\/v1\/static\/694940094001\/3004dcde-1c45-4af4-aa71-c89e4925c6d6\/6b9f3277-3196-4d4b-bf4b-ba9d815e51ab\/1280x720\/match\/720\/405\/image.jpg?ve=1&tl=1\")
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