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Marley Morris, the think-tank\u2019s associate director, said: \u201cThere is only a very narrow window for government success on asylum, based on its current plan to forge ahead with the Rwanda deal and the Illegal Migration Act. Even with the Act fully implemented, under most plausible scenarios, arrivals will still outpace removals.<\/p>\n
\u201cThis will mean a growing population of people permanently in limbo, putting huge pressure on Home Office accommodation and support systems, plus a risk of thousands of people who vanish from the system and are at risk of exploitation and destitution.<\/p>\n
\u201cAny incoming government would be likely to face a dire and increasingly costly challenge, which it would need to address urgently from the outset. There will be no option to ignore or sideline the crisis it inherits.\u201d<\/p>\n
More than 50,000 asylum seekers are currently staying in hotel rooms, costing taxpayers \u00a36million per day.<\/p>\n
But 136,000 are waiting for claims to be processed. Experts fear the number will grow over the next five years.<\/p>\n
The Illegal Migration Bill will prevent people arriving on small boats from claiming asylum and will impose a legal duty on the Home Secretary to seek their removal.<\/p>\n
But the IPPR warned international law will prevent many from being returned to their home countries as they could be arrested, executed, tortured or face persecution.<\/p>\n
This, researchers say, will leave many \u201cin indefinite limbo\u201d.<\/p>\n
The IPPR added: \u201cThe result could be a steadily escalating number of people who cannot be compelled to leave the UK but who have no path to securing permission to stay and are permanently blocked from working.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe new Act may incentivise some people to avoid detection and enter the informal economy. This could lead to a growing undocumented population.<\/p>\n
\u201cBut others may continue to enter Home Office systems… If people are mostly accommodated by the Home Office, in many cases this will need to be done indefinitely given the intention of the Act is to deem them permanently inadmissible to asylum and their prospects of removal are low.\u201d<\/p>\n
A Home Office spokesman said: \u201cThe Illegal Migration Act will help to clear the asylum backlog by allowing us to detain and swiftly remove those who arrive here illegally.<\/p>\n
\u201cWhile we operationalise the measures in the Act, we continue to remove those with no right to be here through existing powers.\u201d<\/p>\n
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