Los Angeles Should Reach Covid-19 Herd Immunity By Late June, Say Health Officials
On Wednesday, after months of not getting a three week window of projections on vaccine supply, Los Angeles County Public Health Director Barbara Ferrer said, based on numbers received from the federal government, that Los Angeles will reach 80% vaccine coverage in residents over 16 years old the next 12 weeks. That means by the end of June the county should have achieved the overall the 70-85% immunity — through vaccinations and infections — Dr. Anthony Fauci says is required for herd immunity to the virus.
“If L.A. County receives 500,000 doses a week,” said Ferrer on Wednesday, “80% vaccination of 16 and over can happen in just 12 more weeks.”
She then showed a slide displaying the logic of that assertion. To be clear, the graphic is based on 576,000 doses arriving each week.
“We got the most vaccines this week being administered than we ever heave before,” said Ferrer before noting that “we have capacity here. We’re never going to be a situation here where we get additional doses and we can’t immediately get them in people’s arms.”
The director said the county got more doses than ever this week, but has built out the infrastructure to deliver doses at 630,000 appointments a week.
She also displayed in that graphic showing the four week projections provided by the federal government that allowed her to make the forward-looking assessment about vaccination rates. It indicated 500,000 doses this week and the next two and then 600,000 and 700,000 thereafter.
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