Chipmakers knock stocks ahead of U.S. payrolls, Credit Suisse up
LONDON (Reuters) – Stocks eased on Friday as Federal Reserve officials talked up the likelihood of more hefty U.S. interest rate hikes, though battered Credit Suisse Group rose after announcing a $3 billion bond buyback to steady investors nerves.
Worries over the global economy deepened after chipmakers Samsung and AMD flagged a slump in demand, blaming inflation, higher interest rates and the impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. European chipmakers Infineon, STMicroelectronics and ASML fell in tandem.
Weak German industrial production in August provided further evidence that Europe’s biggest economy continues to slide into recession, ING bank said. The dollar and crude oil prices firmed ahead of key U.S. jobs data before the opening bell on Wall Street.
In Europe, the STOXX index of 600 leading companies was down 0.2%, but still heading for its largest weekly gain since late July. It is down about 19% for the year.
Valuations show markets are beginning to discount many of their problems as supply bottlenecks ease and with hopes of a peak in interest rates in the not too distant future, said Patrick Spencer, vice chairman of equities at Baird Investment Bank.
The immediate focus is on earnings for the United States and whether consumers are holding up in the teeth of rate hikes, Spencer said.
“Bank earnings start next week from Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, Wells Fargo and Citi. That’s going to be a pretty good indication because they all have big credit card businesses and they’ll give us a very good indication on the consumer,” Spencer said.
On Friday, Credit Suisse was a standout, the Swiss bank’s shares were up 4.2% after announcing it will buy back up to 3 billion Swiss francs of debt following steep falls in its stock price on unsubstantiated rumours that its future was in doubt.
The MSCI All Country stock index fell 0.3%, leaving it down about 24% for the year so far.
After Bank of England intervention to prop up gilts, the UK markets will tune into BoE Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, who speaks at 1025 GMT on economic shocks and monetary policy.
U.S. stock index futures were down 0.3%, after the S&P 500 index dropped 1% overnight. U.S. non-farm payrolls for September is due before the opening bell on Wall Street.[.N]
A Reuters poll predicts 250,000 jobs were created in September after rising 315,000 in August, while the unemployment rate is expected to remain at 3.7%.
“Today, it is the US labor market report, which is likely to paint a picture of some softening, but not to an extent that can be expected to fuel any twist in the rhetoric of US central bankers. Next week, it all comes down to the US inflation release,” UniCredit analysts said in a note to clients.
Graphics: Glimmer of hope
In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei dropped 0.7%, while South Korea’s Kospi slipped 0.2%, weighed partly by a decline in Samsung shares.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was 1.4% lower, with its tech stocks tumbling 3%. Mainland Chinese shares remain closed for the final day of the Golden Week holiday.
Fed officials showed no intention of backing down from the most aggressive rate hike campaign in decades, with Fed Governor Lisa Cook, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari all emphasising that the inflation fight was ongoing and they were not prepared to change course.
Markets currently price in an 87.7% chance of a 75 basis point increase for next month’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting, and 12.3% odds for a half point bump.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was at 3.8489%.
The dollar index, which tracks the greenback versus a basket of six major peers, was little changed at 112.165 following a 1.84% two-day rally from a two-week low.
Sterling gained 0.4% to $1.12, while the euro gained 0.19% to $0.9811.
Crude oil on Friday steadied after a rapid climb triggered by OPEC+ output cuts announced this week. [O/R]
Brent crude edged up 0.3% to $94.71 a barrel. WTI crude futures were up 0.3% at $88.69 a barrel.
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